FC Kuressaare vs JK Tammeka Tartu

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

FC Kuressaare

JK Tammeka Tartu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.4% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 38.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.0% 2.88 DRAW 27.5% 3.45 AWAY 39.5% 2.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Kuressaare

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Kuressaare JK Tammeka Tartu

Shots 16.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Kuressaare, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Kuressaare JK Tammeka Tartu

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.0

JK Tammeka Tartu has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Kuressaare JK Tammeka Tartu

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

FC Kuressaare ↑ +0.01 (+0.2%)

JK Tammeka Tartu ↑ +0.27 (+12.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.