JK Trans Narva vs FC Flora Tallinn

08 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

JK Trans Narva

FC Flora Tallinn

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.6% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 54.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.2% 4.86 DRAW 22.7% 4.10 AWAY 58.1% 1.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for JK Trans Narva relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 22.6% win probability, compared with 19.2% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: JK Trans Narva

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

JK Trans Narva FC Flora Tallinn

Shots 12.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours JK Trans Narva, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

JK Trans Narva FC Flora Tallinn

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

JK Trans Narva FC Flora Tallinn

The combined recent performance profile favours JK Trans Narva.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

JK Trans Narva ↑ +0.89 (+22.3%)

FC Flora Tallinn ↓ -0.12 (-6.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.