Navbahor Namangan vs Dinamo Samarqand

17 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Navbahor Namangan

Dinamo Samarqand

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 66.2% DRAW 21.1% AWAY 12.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.7% 1.48 DRAW 22.0% 4.36 AWAY 13.3% 7.18

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Navbahor Namangan has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Navbahor Namangan Dinamo Samarqand

Shots 12.8 · On target 6.8 Shots 12.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Navbahor Namangan Dinamo Samarqand

Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Navbahor Namangan has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Navbahor Namangan Dinamo Samarqand

The combined recent performance profile favours Navbahor Namangan.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Navbahor Namangan = (0.0%)

Dinamo Samarqand ↑ +1.68 (+30.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.