AGMK vs Pakhtakor Tashkent

09 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

AGMK

Pakhtakor Tashkent

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.2% DRAW 25.8% AWAY 47.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.9% 3.72 DRAW 25.9% 3.72 AWAY 48.2% 2.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: AGMK

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

AGMK Pakhtakor Tashkent

Shots 9.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 10.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AGMK Pakhtakor Tashkent

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AGMK Pakhtakor Tashkent

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

AGMK ↑ +0.17 (+4.6%)

Pakhtakor Tashkent ↑ +0.11 (+5.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.