Riga FC vs FK Auda

11 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Riga FC

FK Auda

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 71.5% DRAW 17.9% AWAY 10.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.2% 1.36 DRAW 18.8% 5.08 AWAY 10.9% 8.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Riga FC

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Riga FC FK Auda

Shots 17.3 · On target 8.8 Shots 14.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Riga FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Riga FC FK Auda

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.3

FK Auda has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Riga FC FK Auda

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Riga FC ↓ -0.23 (-14.5%)

FK Auda ↑ +4.18 (+91.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.