RFS vs FK Liepaja

07 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

RFS

FK Liepaja

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 71.8% DRAW 17.3% AWAY 10.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.6% 1.32 DRAW 17.9% 5.29 AWAY 10.5% 9.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FK Liepaja

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

RFS FK Liepaja

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 13.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours FK Liepaja, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

RFS FK Liepaja

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.8

RFS has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

RFS FK Liepaja

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

RFS ↑ +0.03 (+2.3%)

FK Liepaja ↑ +1.00 (+12.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.