Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils

07 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Riga FC

BFC Daugavpils

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 75.8% DRAW 14.4% AWAY 9.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 74.1% 1.27 DRAW 15.7% 6.01 AWAY 10.3% 9.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Riga FC

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Riga FC BFC Daugavpils

Shots 14.5 · On target 7.0 Shots 12.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Riga FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Riga FC BFC Daugavpils

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Riga FC BFC Daugavpils

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Riga FC ↑ +0.09 (+7.4%)

BFC Daugavpils ↓ -3.35 (-26.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.