Ogre United vs FK Liepaja

11 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Ogre United

FK Liepaja

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.8% DRAW 21.2% AWAY 57.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.0% 4.50 DRAW 21.8% 4.34 AWAY 57.3% 1.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ogre United FK Liepaja

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ogre United FK Liepaja

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 3.8

FK Liepaja has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ogre United FK Liepaja

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Ogre United ↓ -0.82 (-15.4%)

FK Liepaja ↑ +0.17 (+11.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.