Universidad Catolica del Ecuador vs SD Aucas

03 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

SD Aucas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.6% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 21.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.4% 1.92 DRAW 27.2% 3.55 AWAY 22.3% 4.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Universidad Catolica del Ecuador SD Aucas

Shots 16.5 · On target 7.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Universidad Catolica del Ecuador, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Universidad Catolica del Ecuador SD Aucas

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.5

SD Aucas has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Universidad Catolica del Ecuador SD Aucas

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Universidad Catolica del Ecuador ↑ +0.08 (+4.6%)

SD Aucas ↑ +0.22 (+5.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.