Deportivo Cuenca vs Club Atletico Libertad

07 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Deportivo Cuenca

Club Atletico Libertad

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.5% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 17.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.8% 1.77 DRAW 26.2% 3.70 AWAY 19.0% 5.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Deportivo Cuenca

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Cuenca Club Atletico Libertad

Shots 14.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 13.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Cuenca Club Atletico Libertad

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Deportivo Cuenca has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Cuenca Club Atletico Libertad

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportivo Cuenca ↑ +0.10 (+6.2%)

Club Atletico Libertad ↑ +0.10 (+2.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.