Leones FC vs Tecnico Universitario

13 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Leones FC

Tecnico Universitario

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.8% DRAW 28.9% AWAY 21.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.4% 1.98 DRAW 29.0% 3.30 AWAY 22.6% 4.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Leones FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Leones FC Tecnico Universitario

Shots 13.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 12.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Leones FC Tecnico Universitario

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Leones FC Tecnico Universitario

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Leones FC ↑ +0.17 (+9.6%)

Tecnico Universitario ↓ -0.50 (-10.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.