Delfin SC vs Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

06 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Delfin SC

Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.8% DRAW 27.8% AWAY 48.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.7% 3.75 DRAW 28.2% 3.42 AWAY 46.1% 2.09

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Universidad Catolica del Ecuador has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Delfin SC Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

Shots 9.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 14.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Universidad Catolica del Ecuador, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Delfin SC Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Delfin SC Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

The combined recent performance profile favours Universidad Catolica del Ecuador.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Delfin SC ↓ -0.35 (-8.5%)

Universidad Catolica del Ecuador ↑ +0.06 (+3.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.