Leones FC vs Orense

03 Sep 2026 · 23:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Leones FC

Orense

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.3% DRAW 30.2% AWAY 24.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.5% 2.10 DRAW 29.8% 3.28 AWAY 23.8% 4.11

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Leones FC Orense

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 15.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Leones FC Orense

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Leones FC Orense

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Leones FC ↓ -0.12 (-5.5%)

Orense ↑ +0.85 (+26.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.