Viimsi JK vs FC Elva

10 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

Viimsi JK

FC Elva

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.0% DRAW 19.1% AWAY 20.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.5% 1.65 DRAW 20.7% 4.50 AWAY 22.7% 4.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Viimsi JK relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 60.0% win probability, compared with 56.5% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Viimsi JK

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Viimsi JK FC Elva

Shots 15.5 · On target 8.3 Shots 10.8 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Viimsi JK, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Viimsi JK FC Elva

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Viimsi JK FC Elva

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Viimsi JK ↑ +0.09 (+5.8%)

FC Elva ↓ -0.41 (-9.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.