FC Levadia Tallinn U21 vs Tartu JK Welco

10 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.2 pp

FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Tartu JK Welco

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.7% DRAW 21.0% AWAY 45.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.6% 3.00 DRAW 21.8% 4.20 AWAY 47.6% 1.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Levadia Tallinn U21 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 33.7% win probability, compared with 30.6% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Levadia Tallinn U21

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Tartu JK Welco

Shots 16.3 · On target 7.5 Shots 12.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Levadia Tallinn U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Tartu JK Welco

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Tartu JK Welco

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Levadia Tallinn U21 ↓ -0.83 (-21.7%)

Tartu JK Welco ↑ +0.26 (+15.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.