JK Nomme Kalju II vs FC Flora Tallinn II

10 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

JK Nomme Kalju II

FC Flora Tallinn II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.4% DRAW 18.5% AWAY 60.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.4% 4.35 DRAW 19.6% 4.75 AWAY 59.0% 1.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Flora Tallinn II

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

JK Nomme Kalju II FC Flora Tallinn II

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 12.8 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Flora Tallinn II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

JK Nomme Kalju II FC Flora Tallinn II

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 7.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

JK Nomme Kalju II FC Flora Tallinn II

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Flora Tallinn II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

JK Nomme Kalju II ↑ +0.93 (+27.0%)

FC Flora Tallinn II ↓ -0.17 (-9.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.