FC Flora Tallinn II vs FC Elva

13 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

FC Flora Tallinn II

FC Elva

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.8% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 26.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.7% 2.02 DRAW 24.8% 3.80 AWAY 28.4% 3.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Flora Tallinn II relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.8% win probability, compared with 46.7% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Flora Tallinn II has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Flora Tallinn II FC Elva

Shots 12.0 · On target 6.5 Shots 10.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Flora Tallinn II FC Elva

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 6.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Flora Tallinn II FC Elva

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

FC Flora Tallinn II ↑ +0.05 (+2.5%)

FC Elva ↑ +0.39 (+13.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.