JK Nomme Kalju II vs JK Nomme United II

21 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

JK Nomme Kalju II

JK Nomme United II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.7% DRAW 20.8% AWAY 54.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.0% 3.62 DRAW 21.8% 4.15 AWAY 53.2% 1.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: JK Nomme United II

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

JK Nomme Kalju II JK Nomme United II

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 18.3 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours JK Nomme United II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

JK Nomme Kalju II JK Nomme United II

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 6.5

JK Nomme Kalju II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

JK Nomme Kalju II JK Nomme United II

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

JK Nomme Kalju II ↑ +0.99 (+37.4%)

JK Nomme United II ↓ -0.40 (-19.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.