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Estonia Esiliiga · EE

FC Flora Tallinn II vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21

08 Nov 2026 · 11:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for FC Flora Tallinn II. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.36 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.52. At this price, a home win for FC Flora Tallinn II does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
FC Flora Tallinn II
STOCHASTICBET 39.7%
PINNACLE 38.4% odd 2.36
DIFFERENCE +1.3 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 22.3%
PINNACLE 22.3% odd 4.06
DIFFERENCE 0.0 pp
AWAY
FC Levadia Tallinn U21
STOCHASTICBET 38.1%
PINNACLE 39.4% odd 2.30
DIFFERENCE -1.3 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 09:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: FC Flora Tallinn II

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
FC Flora Tallinn II FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Shots 15.8 · On target 7.3 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Flora Tallinn II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
FC Flora Tallinn II FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.5

FC Levadia Tallinn U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
FC Flora Tallinn II FC Levadia Tallinn U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-08 10:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME -1.99 pp —
DRAW -0.67 pp —
AWAY +2.65 pp —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.