Brazil Serie B · BR

America MG vs Ponte Preta

30 Aug 2026 · 21:00

MARKET CONSENSUS

Strong Home Lean

Home 84.4%

Draw 10.8%

Away 4.7%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 73.6 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

America MG Ponte Preta

Shots 13.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 8.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours America MG, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

America MG Ponte Preta

Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 18.8 · On target allowed 7.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

America MG Ponte Preta

The combined recent performance profile favours America MG.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

America MG ↓ -0.38 (-25.1%)

Ponte Preta ↑ +15.51 (+206.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Performance4 -1.411

Shot rating 25

Shots-on-target rating 8

Qualified model signal None

INTERPRETATION

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.