Sao Bernardo SP vs Londrina

11 Sep 2026 · 00:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Sao Bernardo SP

Londrina

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.2% DRAW 25.5% AWAY 19.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.9% 1.78 DRAW 25.8% 3.79 AWAY 19.4% 5.04

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Londrina

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sao Bernardo SP Londrina

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sao Bernardo SP Londrina

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sao Bernardo SP Londrina

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Sao Bernardo SP ↑ +0.08 (+4.3%)

Londrina ↓ -0.25 (-5.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.