Criciuma vs Operario PR

22 Sep 2026 · 00:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Criciuma

Operario PR

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.7% DRAW 28.6% AWAY 18.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.6% 1.91 DRAW 28.9% 3.34 AWAY 20.5% 4.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Criciuma

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Criciuma Operario PR

Shots 12.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 12.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Criciuma Operario PR

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 22.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Criciuma has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Criciuma Operario PR

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Criciuma ↓ -0.06 (-3.2%)

Operario PR ↑ +0.57 (+11.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.