Botafogo SP vs Goias

15 Sep 2026 · 00:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Botafogo SP

Goias

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.1% DRAW 33.2% AWAY 25.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.0% 2.38 DRAW 32.5% 3.00 AWAY 26.5% 3.69

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Goias

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Botafogo SP Goias

Shots 8.8 · On target 1.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Goias, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Botafogo SP Goias

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Botafogo SP has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Botafogo SP Goias

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Botafogo SP ↓ -0.01 (-0.4%)

Goias ↑ +0.14 (+4.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.