Brazil Serie B · BR

Vila Nova vs Ceara

30 Aug 2026 · 23:30

MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 49.0%

Draw 28.9%

Away 22.1%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 20.0 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vila Nova Ceara

Shots 14.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vila Nova Ceara

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 6.0

Vila Nova has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vila Nova Ceara

The combined recent performance profile favours Vila Nova.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Vila Nova ↓ -0.01 (-0.5%)

Ceara ↑ +0.31 (+7.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Performance4 -1.735

Shot rating 40

Shots-on-target rating 16

Qualified model signal None

INTERPRETATION

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.