Criciuma vs EC Juventude

09 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

Criciuma

EC Juventude

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.2% DRAW 36.2% AWAY 23.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.1% 2.38 DRAW 35.0% 2.80 AWAY 23.9% 4.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the away side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

Criciuma EC Juventude

Shots 12.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 12.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Criciuma EC Juventude

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Criciuma EC Juventude

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Criciuma ↑ +0.23 (+10.7%)

EC Juventude = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.