HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry FC

07 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

HFX Wanderers

Cavalry FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.6% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 53.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.7% 4.39 DRAW 26.4% 3.60 AWAY 51.9% 1.83

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Cavalry FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

HFX Wanderers Cavalry FC

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

HFX Wanderers Cavalry FC

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Cavalry FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

HFX Wanderers Cavalry FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Cavalry FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

HFX Wanderers ↑ +0.07 (+1.6%)

Cavalry FC ↑ +0.17 (+10.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.