Forge FC vs Inter Toronto

06 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Forge FC

Inter Toronto

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.6% DRAW 15.0% AWAY 7.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 75.2% 1.27 DRAW 16.4% 5.81 AWAY 8.3% 11.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Inter Toronto

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Forge FC Inter Toronto

Shots 10.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 12.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Forge FC Inter Toronto

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 6.8

Forge FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Forge FC Inter Toronto

The combined recent performance profile favours Forge FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Forge FC ↓ -0.07 (-5.2%)

Inter Toronto ↑ +4.37 (+61.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.