HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa

26 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

HFX Wanderers

Atletico Ottawa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.3% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 29.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.4% 2.06 DRAW 25.0% 3.74 AWAY 29.7% 3.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: HFX Wanderers

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

HFX Wanderers Atletico Ottawa

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours HFX Wanderers, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

HFX Wanderers Atletico Ottawa

Shots allowed 17.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

HFX Wanderers Atletico Ottawa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

HFX Wanderers ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

Atletico Ottawa ↑ +0.09 (+2.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.