Tabasalu FC Charma vs Tallinna JK Legion

14 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Tabasalu FC Charma

Tallinna JK Legion

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.5% DRAW 19.4% AWAY 19.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 63.0% 1.57 DRAW 19.8% 5.00 AWAY 17.2% 5.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tallinna JK Legion

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tabasalu FC Charma Tallinna JK Legion

Shots 10.8 · On target 5.8 Shots 16.0 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output favours Tallinna JK Legion, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tabasalu FC Charma Tallinna JK Legion

Shots allowed 17.5 · On target allowed 10.0 Shots allowed 19.0 · On target allowed 9.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tabasalu FC Charma Tallinna JK Legion

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tabasalu FC Charma ↑ +0.07 (+4.7%)

Tallinna JK Legion ↑ +1.55 (+36.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.