JK Tammeka Tartu II vs JK Viljandi Tulevik

10 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

JK Tammeka Tartu II

JK Viljandi Tulevik

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.4% DRAW 19.6% AWAY 32.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.3% 2.08 DRAW 21.0% 4.50 AWAY 33.7% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for JK Tammeka Tartu II relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 48.4% win probability, compared with 45.3% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: JK Viljandi Tulevik

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

JK Tammeka Tartu II JK Viljandi Tulevik

Shots 15.5 · On target 6.5 Shots 17.3 · On target 8.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

JK Tammeka Tartu II JK Viljandi Tulevik

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 8.8

JK Tammeka Tartu II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

JK Tammeka Tartu II JK Viljandi Tulevik

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

JK Tammeka Tartu II ↑ +0.03 (+1.5%)

JK Viljandi Tulevik ↑ +0.22 (+8.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.