JK Trans Narva II vs JK Tammeka Tartu II

15 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.2 pp

JK Trans Narva II

JK Tammeka Tartu II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 74.8% DRAW 14.1% AWAY 11.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.6% 1.31 DRAW 15.9% 5.90 AWAY 12.5% 7.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for JK Trans Narva II relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 74.8% win probability, compared with 71.6% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

JK Trans Narva II has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

JK Trans Narva II JK Tammeka Tartu II

Shots 19.3 · On target 9.8 Shots 15.3 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours JK Trans Narva II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

JK Trans Narva II JK Tammeka Tartu II

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.8

JK Trans Narva II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

JK Trans Narva II JK Tammeka Tartu II

The combined recent performance profile favours JK Trans Narva II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

JK Trans Narva II = (0.0%)

JK Tammeka Tartu II ↑ +1.18 (+18.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.