Johvi FC Phoenix vs JK Tallinna Kalev II

14 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.3 pp

Johvi FC Phoenix

JK Tallinna Kalev II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.2% DRAW 17.5% AWAY 18.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.9% 1.57 DRAW 19.4% 4.86 AWAY 20.7% 4.54

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Johvi FC Phoenix clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 64.2% win probability, compared with 59.9% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Johvi FC Phoenix has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Johvi FC Phoenix JK Tallinna Kalev II

Shots 17.0 · On target 7.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Johvi FC Phoenix, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Johvi FC Phoenix JK Tallinna Kalev II

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Johvi FC Phoenix JK Tallinna Kalev II

The combined recent performance profile favours Johvi FC Phoenix.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Johvi FC Phoenix = (0.0%)

JK Tallinna Kalev II ↑ +0.35 (+9.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.