Tabasalu FC Charma vs JK Tammeka Tartu II

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.0 pp

Tabasalu FC Charma

JK Tammeka Tartu II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.9% DRAW 20.1% AWAY 46.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.5% 2.65 DRAW 21.5% 4.50 AWAY 42.0% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates JK Tammeka Tartu II clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 46.0% win probability, compared with 42.0% implied by the market. The 4.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

JK Tammeka Tartu II has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tabasalu FC Charma JK Tammeka Tartu II

Shots 9.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 15.8 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours JK Tammeka Tartu II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tabasalu FC Charma JK Tammeka Tartu II

Shots allowed 17.5 · On target allowed 9.5 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 7.8

JK Tammeka Tartu II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tabasalu FC Charma JK Tammeka Tartu II

The combined recent performance profile favours JK Tammeka Tartu II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Tabasalu FC Charma ↓ -1.46 (-35.5%)

JK Tammeka Tartu II ↑ +0.76 (+49.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.