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Estonia Esiliiga B · EE

Parnu JK Vaprus II vs JK Trans Narva II

08 Nov 2026 · 11:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for an away win for JK Trans Narva II. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.64 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.71. At this price, an away win for JK Trans Narva II does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Parnu JK Vaprus II
STOCHASTICBET 43.5%
PINNACLE 46.1% odd 1.96
DIFFERENCE -2.7 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 19.7%
PINNACLE 19.6% odd 4.61
DIFFERENCE +0.1 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
JK Trans Narva II
STOCHASTICBET 36.9%
PINNACLE 34.3% odd 2.64
DIFFERENCE +2.6 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 10:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

JK Trans Narva II has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Parnu JK Vaprus II JK Trans Narva II
Shots 13.8 · On target 6.8 Shots 19.3 · On target 9.8

Recent attacking output favours JK Trans Narva II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Parnu JK Vaprus II JK Trans Narva II
Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.8

JK Trans Narva II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Parnu JK Vaprus II JK Trans Narva II

The combined recent performance profile favours JK Trans Narva II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-08 10:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME -7.42 pp —
DRAW -1.42 pp —
AWAY +8.84 pp —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.