Spartak Moscow U19 vs Krasnodar U19

11 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.7 pp

Spartak Moscow U19

Krasnodar U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.0% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 54.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.3% 3.60 DRAW 25.7% 3.54 AWAY 49.0% 1.86

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Krasnodar U19 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 54.7% win probability, compared with 49.0% implied by the market. The 5.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Krasnodar U19 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Spartak Moscow U19 Krasnodar U19

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Krasnodar U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Spartak Moscow U19 Krasnodar U19

Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Krasnodar U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Spartak Moscow U19 Krasnodar U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Krasnodar U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Spartak Moscow U19 = (0.0%)

Krasnodar U19 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.