Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Rostov U19

11 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Lokomotiv Moscow U19

Rostov U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.5% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 22.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.9% 1.72 DRAW 25.8% 3.52 AWAY 21.3% 4.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Rostov U19

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 Rostov U19

Shots 13.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 12.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 Rostov U19

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Rostov U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 Rostov U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 ↓ -0.16 (-8.5%)

Rostov U19 ↑ +0.87 (+25.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.