North Macedonia vs Switzerland

26 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

North Macedonia

Switzerland

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 8.2% DRAW 18.2% AWAY 73.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 8.6% 11.33 DRAW 18.6% 5.21 AWAY 72.9% 1.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Switzerland has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

North Macedonia Switzerland

Shots 3.3 · On target 1.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Switzerland, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

North Macedonia Switzerland

Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

North Macedonia Switzerland

The combined recent performance profile favours Switzerland.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

North Macedonia ↑ +3.13 (+38.2%)

Switzerland ↓ -0.07 (-5.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.