Czechia vs Croatia

26 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Czechia

Croatia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.7% DRAW 27.8% AWAY 46.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.9% 4.08 DRAW 27.4% 3.55 AWAY 48.7% 2.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Czechia Croatia

Shots 13.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 9.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Czechia Croatia

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Czechia Croatia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Czechia ↑ +0.85 (+26.3%)

Croatia ↓ -0.22 (-9.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.