Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Faroe Islands

Kazakhstan

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.7% DRAW 28.6% AWAY 19.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.6% 2.00 DRAW 28.9% 3.43 AWAY 21.4% 4.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Faroe Islands has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Faroe Islands Kazakhstan

Shots 7.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 6.3 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Faroe Islands, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Faroe Islands Kazakhstan

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Faroe Islands has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Faroe Islands Kazakhstan

The combined recent performance profile favours Faroe Islands.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Faroe Islands ↓ -0.06 (-2.6%)

Kazakhstan ↑ +0.74 (+22.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.