Setagaya Sfida (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

05 Sep 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.9 pp

Setagaya Sfida (W)

Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.8% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 51.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.7% 3.48 DRAW 27.2% 3.42 AWAY 46.1% 2.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Iga FC Kunoichi (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.0% win probability, compared with 46.1% implied by the market. The 4.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Iga FC Kunoichi (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Setagaya Sfida (W) Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 13.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Iga FC Kunoichi (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Setagaya Sfida (W) Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.3

Iga FC Kunoichi (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Setagaya Sfida (W) Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Iga FC Kunoichi (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Setagaya Sfida (W) ↑ +0.32 (+10.1%)

Iga FC Kunoichi (W) ↓ -0.04 (-1.9%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.