Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) vs Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

27 Sep 2026 · 06:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.5% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 46.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.4% 3.36 DRAW 27.3% 3.50 AWAY 44.4% 2.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

Shots 13.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 17.5 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output favours Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) ↑ +0.76 (+29.2%)

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) ↓ -0.10 (-4.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.