AS Harima Albion (W) vs Loveledge Nagoya (W)

19 Sep 2026 · 08:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.7 pp

AS Harima Albion (W)

Loveledge Nagoya (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.2% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 53.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.5% 4.31 DRAW 28.0% 3.30 AWAY 50.5% 1.83

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Loveledge Nagoya (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 53.3% win probability, compared with 50.5% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Loveledge Nagoya (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

AS Harima Albion (W) Loveledge Nagoya (W)

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 15.0 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Loveledge Nagoya (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AS Harima Albion (W) Loveledge Nagoya (W)

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Loveledge Nagoya (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AS Harima Albion (W) Loveledge Nagoya (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Loveledge Nagoya (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

AS Harima Albion (W) ↑ +0.57 (+15.2%)

Loveledge Nagoya (W) ↓ -0.10 (-5.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.