Orca Kamogawa FC (W) vs Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 08:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Orca Kamogawa FC (W)

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.4% DRAW 26.8% AWAY 47.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.2% 3.85 DRAW 26.7% 3.50 AWAY 49.1% 1.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Orca Kamogawa FC (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

Shots 13.0 · On target 7.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Orca Kamogawa FC (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Orca Kamogawa FC (W) ↑ +0.05 (+1.3%)

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) ↑ +0.17 (+10.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.