Paide Linnameeskond (W) vs Saku Sporting (W)

19 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Paide Linnameeskond (W)

Saku Sporting (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.9% DRAW 16.9% AWAY 24.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.0% 1.57 DRAW 18.0% 5.25 AWAY 22.0% 4.29

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Saku Sporting (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Paide Linnameeskond (W) Saku Sporting (W)

Shots 2.8 · On target 1.5 Shots 18.5 · On target 9.8

Recent attacking output favours Saku Sporting (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Paide Linnameeskond (W) Saku Sporting (W)

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 7.3

Paide Linnameeskond (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Paide Linnameeskond (W) Saku Sporting (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Paide Linnameeskond (W) ↑ +0.02 (+1.4%)

Saku Sporting (W) ↑ +0.11 (+2.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.