Viimsi JK (W) vs Saku Sporting (W)

12 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.4 pp

Viimsi JK (W)

Saku Sporting (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.4% DRAW 22.1% AWAY 38.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.0% 2.63 DRAW 22.9% 4.00 AWAY 42.1% 2.18

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Viimsi JK (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.4% win probability, compared with 35.0% implied by the market. The 4.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Viimsi JK (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Viimsi JK (W) Saku Sporting (W)

Shots 17.3 · On target 6.8 Shots 15.5 · On target 8.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Viimsi JK (W) Saku Sporting (W)

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 9.8

Viimsi JK (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Viimsi JK (W) Saku Sporting (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Viimsi JK (W) ↑ +0.63 (+31.3%)

Saku Sporting (W) ↓ -0.57 (-20.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.