CA Estudiantes Caseros vs CA San Miguel

26 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

CA Estudiantes Caseros

CA San Miguel

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.7% DRAW 32.8% AWAY 17.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.3% 1.90 DRAW 31.9% 3.00 AWAY 17.8% 5.37

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Estudiantes Caseros

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Estudiantes Caseros CA San Miguel

Shots 8.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours CA Estudiantes Caseros, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Estudiantes Caseros CA San Miguel

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Estudiantes Caseros CA San Miguel

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CA Estudiantes Caseros = (0.0%)

CA San Miguel ↑ +0.02 (+0.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.