Pocheon Citizen FC vs Yeoju

06 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Pocheon Citizen FC

Yeoju

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.3% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 13.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.7% 1.57 DRAW 23.6% 4.10 AWAY 14.6% 6.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Pocheon Citizen FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 64.3% win probability, compared with 61.7% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Pocheon Citizen FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pocheon Citizen FC Yeoju

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 6.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Pocheon Citizen FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pocheon Citizen FC Yeoju

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Pocheon Citizen FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pocheon Citizen FC Yeoju

The combined recent performance profile favours Pocheon Citizen FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Pocheon Citizen FC ↑ +0.07 (+4.7%)

Yeoju ↑ +0.68 (+11.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.