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South Korea K3 League · KR

Changwon City vs Daejeon Korail

05 Sep 2026 · 10:00
NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp
Changwon City
Daejeon Korail
HOME 31.4% DRAW 29.4% AWAY 39.2%
HOME 31.4% 2.99 DRAW 29.3% 3.20 AWAY 39.4% 2.38

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Changwon City

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Changwon City Daejeon Korail
Shots 9.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Changwon City, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Changwon City Daejeon Korail
Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Daejeon Korail has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Changwon City Daejeon Korail

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Changwon City ↑ +0.01 (+0.2%)
Daejeon Korail ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.