Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen FC

11 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Daejeon Korail

Ulsan Citizen FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.2% DRAW 24.4% AWAY 18.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.7% 1.64 DRAW 24.8% 3.75 AWAY 18.5% 5.04

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ulsan Citizen FC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Daejeon Korail Ulsan Citizen FC

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Daejeon Korail Ulsan Citizen FC

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Daejeon Korail Ulsan Citizen FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Daejeon Korail ↑ +0.07 (+4.5%)

Ulsan Citizen FC ↑ +0.29 (+6.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.