Gangneung City vs Gyeongju HNP

12 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.8 pp

Gangneung City

Gyeongju HNP

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.2% DRAW 29.9% AWAY 41.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.4% 3.66 DRAW 29.0% 3.20 AWAY 45.6% 2.04

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Gangneung City relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 29.2% win probability, compared with 25.4% implied by the market. The 3.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Gangneung City has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gangneung City Gyeongju HNP

Shots 12.3 · On target 6.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Gangneung City, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gangneung City Gyeongju HNP

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Gangneung City has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gangneung City Gyeongju HNP

The combined recent performance profile favours Gangneung City.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Gangneung City ↑ +0.06 (+1.7%)

Gyeongju HNP ↑ +0.21 (+11.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.